translated from Spanish: Brazil elections: why women can be the key?

the multiplicity of variables that make up the carioca reality share two words comprising its state of affairs, as well as the future Outlook: Crisis and uncertainty.

In a social context where violence has for the second consecutive year an increase in the rate of murders, the country is heading towards an election where the candidate with greater intention to vote will not participate, and who now leads the polls was stabbed in a Campaign Act.

On October 7 the Brazilians will be attended to the electronic polls that guide the elections in the country since 1996.

In this process, will vote on five different charges: A President, 27 State Governors, the total renovation of the Chamber of Deputies, a third of the Chamber of Senators and 1,059 legislators who will integrate the parliaments of the 27 federal units.

The latest survey on voting intention by Ibope, mark a sustained increase in voting on the candidate Jair Bolsonaro, who with 31% off this first electoral round compared to 21% who responds by the candidate of the parties of l You workers (PT) Fernando Haddad.

#EleNao in a country where the use of Justice as a political tool is tortious and the militarization of politics a worrying return, Brazil more important elections in recent history have the role of women in a point of vital importance.

In the first place because make up 52.5% of the Brazilian electorate. To this no minor detail, highlight also that 49% said that it would not vote to Bolsonaro, who Yes is supported by 34% of the register of men.  

Under the slogan “No”, the women took a clean sweep the streets in different parts of the Brazil to externalize their refusal to misogyny and discrimination of who today leads the polls.

Meanwhile, Manuela d´avila, Vice-President of the PT candidate, took this flag during his campaign: “we are more than half of Brazil. There is no project of development of this country, if we are not a central part of the project”that’s why from edge. NEWS we got in touch with Ayelen olive, political scientist and journalist specializing in international politics so answer us some questions:

1 – the tide of women who met under the slogan #EleNao has a? candidate clear who vote next Sunday?

no. It was not a concentration identified with any specific political space, but sister claim. The rejection of the Jair Bolsonaro candidate who leads all polls in the country voting intention.

2 – representation of women in Brazil is only in the streets or there is a consolidated institutional framework?

today there is a political space that unifies them but arose spontaneously, in social networks.

Although the trigger was the rejection to the misogynist discourse of Bolsonaro, is not only a complaint to his candidacy, or only to the question of gender but to all that it symbolizes, a very reactionary and important sector of Brazil, which not only goes against the rights of the mu women but also in sexual minorities, Indians, blacks as it is the case of the rejection of these sectors to the law of quotas in the Federal universities that emerged with the Lula Government and reserve half of the seats for students who declare if m ISMS as black, mestizo or indigenous. It is a complaint to all that.

3 – do you think that the role of women and their rejection to the figure of Bolsonaro may end up tilting the balance in a likely runoff?

no, I don’t think that Bolsonaro voter is going to change its decision in 20 days, between a turn and another. And even worse, I think that he either did it for this first round where, as noted in the polls, he grew up 4 more points.

Bolsonaro voter is identified with other causes as the subject of the security and strong rejection to the PT. Unfortunately, I do not think that it can influence a result immediately.

Will not vote them the love but the horror voting is clear on one thing: the 7 of October surely Jair Bolsonaro is the most voted candidate of Brazil. Now, these numbers are supposed to out of context given the little likely scenario that candidate access to 50% more one of the votes.

It is then in a ballot that the rejection rate will take more importance. In this sense, Bolsonaro also heads the list with a strong 46%, followed by the candidate of the PT Fernando Haddad with 30%. 

Candidate Ciro Gomes, third in the polls, said he would vote for Haddad in the event that this be elected to participate in a possible second round. Another point is also compelling: the significance of polls in electoral processes tends to be proportional to the degree of this doubt about the candidates and to the preferences of the citizens. Facing presidential elections in Brazil, the main measuring technology of the country present themselves as thermometer of a system that may have more than fever in his diagnosis.

Original source in Spanish

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