translated from Spanish: Are we better than in 2015?

strategy was clear, was not appointed any macroeconomic variables of the 2018 while focused on the achievements of the management. Even in these term the economy is better than in 2015? 
1. the economy fell in terms of economic activity, and with the great fall of 2.6 percent we had in 2018, there is a decrease of 1.6% compared with the beginning of its mandate.

An interesting fact is that since the 2001-2002 period the country did not suffer two years in a row of fall of the product, what is presented as necessary for the necessary structural changes to the country since the ruling. Who in the productive apparatus will survive the debacle is the big question that opens. 
2. the inflation did not fall and is on the rise in terms of inflation, even though it had slowed in 2017, in this point is relevant what happened not long ago but you have to look closer. 

The dynamics shaping the sustained price increase made very relevant to take into account that we come from a year that closed with 47.6%. The highest value since 1991. 

Even though it had been reduced since October in January turned to accelerate, reaching 2.9%. The estimates for February are around 4% which complicates the scenario for the election year.

3. debt for all and all for 2016 and 2017 Argentina was the country which most debts within the Group of emerging economies in the world. Investment lacking but there was rain of loans. 

Bad readings on the international stage and the lack of a national development policy resulted in a recessive 2018. Exchange runs brought to the stage the possibility of a default and quickly the Government came out to ask for funds from the lender of last resort: the IMF. 

This maneuver would reassure the markets but after the first agreement the uncertainty did not stop and a new exchange rate run resulted in the renegotiation with the international agency. We signed the largest loan issued by this international body in its history.

4 projections beyond the evident electoral strategy not to use data from the last year to make up for it with the previous years, the problem is that beyond a kind of balance on the management so far not clear which will be the economic plan to get to October. 

The fragile stability of the dollar, close to the $40, stays with a 50% interest rate but that is ready to be increased in order to maintain such precious currency pax. 

The recessionary effects of a rate so high are visible and policies to counteract this still occur. 

Original source in Spanish

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