translated from Spanish: Elections in Neuquén: is it possible to project the presidential?

Omar Gutiérrez, Ramón Rioseco and Horacio “Pechi” Quiroga are the names that recurred in the last election to Governor of Neuquén province with respect to the year 2015.Este year, Omar Gutiérrez, candidate for the movement Popu LAR Neuquén (MPN) on both occasions, was re-elected with 39.9% of the votes, gaining similar support to the election which gave him his first term which got 40.5%. Compared to the year 2015, Rioseco lost electoral support. Four years ago, being candidate for the front for victory (FPV), it won 31.2% of the vote. This percentage represents almost 5% less with respect to the election of 2019, where it got a 26.1% as candidate of unit Ciudadana-Frente Neuquén, that again left him in second place. Horacio “Pechi” Quiroga, as well as the other candidates, obtained the same position as in previous elections. However, as Rioseco, decreased its support by 5%: 20.1% in 2015 and 15.8% in 2019. At that then representing the Coalition UCR-PRO, and this time under the Alliance Cambiemos.El analysis of the results of the elections of Neuquén intended to used politically as a possible screening to outcomes that could occur at the level in the presidential elections of the month of October. but what were the results of the presidential elections of the Neuquén 2015? The numbers of the first presidential round in Neuquén province gave to Daniel Scioli first place (candidate of the FPV) with 35.6 percent of the votes, when the same party won 31.2% in the election of Governor. For his part, Mauricio Macri for change, got 28.1%. This figure represented an increase of 8% with respect to the retrieved by “Pechi” Quiroga under the alianza UCR-PRO but failed to position him as a winner. What is the votes that Gutierrez obtained at the provincial level were divided among different candidates at the national level. The runoff also gave the victory to the FPV. Daniel Scioli did the 52.8%, while Mauricio Macri the 47,1%.¿Y what happened in the legislative elections of 2017? In this case, change had support that allowed him to position himself as the winning space in 2015 with 28.1% of the votes, but on this occasion. The MPN saw significantly diminished its support since it gained 21.4%, compared with 40.5% had achieved two years ago in elections for Governor. Ramón Rioseco was the candidate who was part of the 3 elections (Governor 2015 and 2017 Deputy Governor 2019). However, in 2017 arose as candidate of the Neuquén, out front of the FPV and unit Ciudadana.En 2017, drive citizen won 19.3% of votes and Rioseco, Neuquén front, 18.1%. An Alliance that, in 2019, could not get a result that would represent the sum of voters of both spaces. In this note:

Original source in Spanish