translated from Spanish: P.A.S.O in Santa Fe. 3 keys to understanding of the year 7th election called

Passed between rivers and reaches Santa Fe. From patagonia to the coast, the national calendar advances, and tomorrow will be the turn of qualified electors (8.1% of the national registry) 2.669.708 define representatives for the elections next Sunday, June 16. From a single ballot paper and the premiere of a new city (San Jerónimo Norte, in the Las Colonias Department) the electors over the age of 18 qualified confirmed candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor; (50) deputies and senators (19) provincial; mayors (45); Municipal Councils (57) and communal committees (308). In a province where since it implemented the internal concurrency to the same ranges in 65% (reaches 80% in the General), special attention to cities will be given with the greatest number of citizens in condition of voting, such as cases of Rosario (726.746), santa Fe (287.637); Rafaela (66.396), Villa Gobernador Gálvez (63.176) and Venado Tuerto (55.690).

Candidates for Governor: the internal as minority
In tune with what is happening in the vast majority of the provincial P.A.S.O, partisan domestic competition does not represent a point of relevance. Santa Fe will not be the exception and presented 7 lists, only one (the front “Together”) will do honour to this instance. This trend is repeated in the cases of Deputies and provincial Senators where pursuant to law the renewal of Parliament is total. In the first case only 3 of 14 political groups will be internal, i.e. by 21%, while the upper House shows that 33 of 160 lists will do the same, 20% in this case. Remember that the P.A.S.O have to his credit, potentially, two faculties: allow access to the generals who exceed the electoral threshold of 1.5% of votes received, as well as (and primarily) decide the candidate where a party submitted more than a representative. The candidates for the governorship of Santa Fe will be entonces:Juan Antonio Bonfatti (civic and Social Progressive Front)
José Manuel Corral (change)
Octavio Crivaro (front left and workers)
Maria Jimena Sosa (new left)
Juan Antonio Martino (large gap)
Pablo Di Bert (alternative Federal)
María Eugenia Bielsa and Omar Perotti (together)
While we might think that according to its implications and effectiveness, the world could be a better place without voting intention polls, the truth is that it is not and a first glimpse of the candidates located Bonfatti, pen and Perotti (in that order) as the best p osicionados for this call. In this sense was the Governor Miguel Lifschitz who predicted a hard defeat to change. Who does not may occur at a new immediate re-election so it has the Constitution, said that this trend can be observed in provincial and national terms. Now, what say the ultimate electoral experience in this regard? Let’s see what happened in 2015, where also was elected Governor and President. In the call that led to the arrival of Miguel Lifschitz as Governor of the province, we can mention that they were more couples throughout the year elections. On that occasion, the representative of the progressive, civic and Social Front beat Miguel de el Sel, candidate of the Union PRO Federal, 1496 votes (30,64% to 30.56%). The tendency of the PRO or change in national terms, however, was different. In the second round he faced Daniel Scioli with Mauricio Macri, the province bowed by the current President who reaped a difference of 234.295 votes, number if we understand that the final distance with former Buenos Aires Governor was 678.774 wills.

The parallelism and the eventual comparison then is complex, meaning that if the candidates, both in quantity as party representation, logically differ in cases, the same may occur in any results. It is logical to consider is that what happens in Santa Fe is inserted into the electoral pulse that emerges from the six previous electoral processes. In this regard, and in addition to the own relevance by the weight of this province, we can read this call as a new chapter in the fate of change. 

As well as leave the economy in national terms affects the provincial electoral performance, the results obtained in this stop will surely contribute to build a State of affairs, not irreversible but considerable, over the next national elections. Both in response to that prior to the presidential P.A.S.O next August 11 at least fourteen provinces will have attended the ballot box, as well as presidential candidates is not proceeding so far, in a scenario of total uncertainty the only one affected by these days would seem to be Cambiemos.En this note:

Original source in Spanish

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